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ford ipo price Q&A Review

What do you think about a Tesla-Uber merger?

The valuations make it impossible. The respective CEOs make it nearly impossible. The likely clash in the market place makes it seems desirable, ,but ultimately ensures it's impossible. Valuation Tesla is valued at about $30B, Uber at about $70B. There is no universe where Elon Musk is giving up his coming for 30% of Tesla/Uber. None. While there might be a universe where Travis Kalanick is buying Tesla for 30% of Tesla/Uber, it doesn't matter. There'd need to be a takeover premium as Tesla is public and he lacks the currency to buy Tesla today. He runs a private company with a few billion in the bank and no way to raise $40B for a tender. I should add both companies have weak balance sheets to (a) complete this kind of merger (b) do battle in the robo-taxi wars of the 2020s. While a public Uber might well have the necessary balance sheet, today's doesn't. And swallowing Tesla would kill most of the balance sheet benefits of the IPO. CEOs These guys are two of the great entrepreneurs of the recent past. Neither is going to cede control to the other. Forget it. No, really, forget it. Don't tell us how great it's going to be to have Elon in charge of engineering and Travis in charge of global conquest. Also, both have kind of been weak at achieving great regulatory victories. Tesla still can't sell cars in many U.S. states, Uber is still not legal in many European countries. While they complement each other in many ways, the two companies share weaknesses. Coming clash The 2020s are about companies offering mobility by the mile and minute. Autonomous cars that whisk you to your destination at low prices or slight premiums for luxury. Tesla is teaching its cars to drive; Uber is trying to learn to build cars that can do same. Eventually, fleets of robo-taxis will replace most private car ownership and offer 25-cents-per-mile transportation to the masses (with higher prices during peak, discounts offered for sharing the vehicle). Tesla, it appears, sees this. Uber clearly is headed there. Google is coming. Apple is too. So is Mercedes. And BMW. And Ford. Etc. They all might not make it. And it's going to be likely that mergers and partnerships dominate down the road (see Google/Ford tieup rumors). But here's the thing, today Uber has ~25,000 total drivers in the SF area and has 3 minute waits in the city and 7 minutes in the suburbs. That's with maybe 10,000 cars on the road most of the time. That means a robo service with 25,000 cars could offer better liquidity than Uber does today (at the same price, of course... with lower prices, demand would soar and you'd need more cars). So the price of entry into a market like the 5th largest U.S. metro is 25,000 cars or less. That will make everyone believe they can go it alone. It will mean someone planning on building 500,000 cars in 2020 (Tesla) could enter the Bay Area robocar business with just 5% of their 2020 production. And someone with a 2017 IPO and the ability to push the balance sheet risk onto a leasing company (Uber) could easily finance their own 25,000 robocars. So why are they merging? Why is Uber hitching its star to one manufacturer when it can choose from 20? Why is Tesla hitching its future to Uber when it could potentially create its own premium ridesharing serving and capture 5-20% of all mobility on demand miles itself? Could Apple buy Tesla? Sure. Could a unicornpocalypse lead to Google buying Uber for $60B down the road? Maybe (though I still doubt it). But Uber and Tesla aren't merging. Not now and probably not later.

Why was Steve Jobs so much richer than Steve Wozniak even though they founded Apple together?

Paul earlier gave basically a perfect answer for your question. Although there is one point that he didn't mention, that I will. Before Apple Computer held its initial public offering (or IPO) in 1980, ,Steve, ,Jobs played, ,a bit of a ,dickish, move,. Jobs decided not to grant stock options to a few of the earliest Apple employees - such as Daniel Kottke, Chris Espinosa and Bill Fernandez. As a result, these men who helped found a soon to be billion dollar company were to make no money from the upcoming IPO, which would be the biggest since Ford Motors in 1956. Here's what Wozniak did. Wozniak sold some of his own shares to his friends (at very low prices) because he thought Jobs was being ,an unfair anal cavity,. So at the end of it, Wozniak was left with fewer shares than Jobs and so made less money than Jobs after the IPO. Steve Jobs eventually went on to invest very wisely in Pixar Animation Studios, which made him a healthy $1B when Pixar held its very own IPO. He founded his own computer company, after leaving Apple in 1985, which was called 'NeXT'. When Steve Jobs finally returned to Apple, he eventually got a megagrant of stock which made him another twenty or thirty million USD. So it was out of both Wozniak's generosity and Jobs's own investments that put Jobs valued at about $8 Billion, ,whereas Steve Wozniak's net worth is estimated to be somewhere around US$100 million today. Wozniak is still richer than most, and his hobbies involve riding on Segways. - Happy Woz on a Segway.

For MBA admissions, can your LoR come from a previous, not current, employer?

Lots of reasons to ask a previous employer instead of your current boss. Say you worked for IBM for three years, and you are in you first year of working at Tesla. Obviously, the B School would prefer to hear from your IBM manager, who clearly would know you better. Or you worked for Ford for a few years, and made a stellar contribution with a cost-saving idea or study. Now you are at Alphabet (Google), but as yet have no major achievement. Which boss is likely to have more to say about you? Or you were an early employee at the startup company of Whiz-Bang Aerospace. The company went public, and you cashed in 80,000 shares of stock options at the $14 IPO price. Clearly you had something important to do with Whiz-Bang surviving, growing, and succeeding. Wherever you are now, could you have anyone more enthusiastic about your skills and potential than the Whiz-Bang president? There are many other examples of situations where a prior employer would be better able to comment on your suitbility for an MBA program, than anyone at your current company. You want to name the person who knows you best, and has the highest opinion of you, to write your Letter of Recommendation. It also helps if that person has a significant position, with a premier company. Way back when, my choice was my former Department Manager, at IBM — even though I had been away from that job for two years, at the time. And, as I later learned from an inside source at Harvard, that recommendation went a long way in getting me accepted into HBS.

What does the "Inc." in Apple Inc. mean?

"Inc." is the abbreviation for incorporated. A corporation is a separate legal entity from the person or people forming it. Directors and officers purchase shares in the business and have responsibility for its operation. Incorporation limits an individual's liability in case of a lawsuit. Apple was founded by Steve jobs, Steve Wozniak, and Ronald Wayne in April 1976 to develop and sell Wozniak's Apple I personal computer. It was incorporated as Apple Computer, Inc. in January 1977, and sales of its computers, including the Apple II , saw significant momentum and revenue growth for the company. Within a few years, Jobs and Wozniak had hired a staff of computer designers and had a production line. Apple went public in 1980 to instant financial success. Over the next few years, Apple shipped new computers featuring innovative graphical user interface, and Apple's marketing commercials for its products received widespread critical acclaim. However, the high price tag of its products and limited software titles caused problems, as did power struggles between executives at the company. Jobs resigned from Apple and created his own company. The Apple, ,II, also invented by Wozniak, was introduced on April 16, 1977, at the first West Coast, ,Computer Faire. It differed from its major rivals, the TRS-80 and Commodore PET, because of its character cell-based color graphics and open architecture. While early Apple II models used ordinary cassette tapes as storage devices, they were superseded by the introduction of a ​5 1⁄4-inch floppy disk drive and interface called the Disk II. The Apple II was chosen to be the desktop platform for the first "killer, ,app" of the business world: ViciCalc, a spreadsheet program. VisiCalc created a business market for the Apple II and gave home users an additional reason to buy an Apple II: compatibility with the office. Before VisiCalc, Apple had been a distant third place competitor to Commodore and Tandy. By the end of the 1970s, Apple had a staff of computer designers and a production line. The company introduced the Apple III in May 1980 in an attempt to compete with IBM and Microsoft in the business and corporate computing market. Jobs and several Apple employees, including Jef, ,Raskin, visited Xerox PARC in December 1979 to see the Xerox Alto. Xerox granted Apple engineers three days of access to the PARC facilities in return for the option to buy 100,000 shares (800,000 split-adjusted shares) of Apple at the pre-IPO price of $10 a share. Jobs was immediately convinced that all future computers would use a graphical user interface (GUI), and development of a GUI began for the Apple Lisa. In 1982, however, he was pushed from the Lisa team due to infighting. Jobs took over Jef Raskin's low-cost-computer project, the MacIntosh. A race broke out between the Lisa team and the Macintosh team over which product would ship first. Lisa won the race in 1983 and became the first personal computer sold to the public with a GUI, but was a commercial failure due to its high price tag and limited software titles. On December 12, 1980, Apple went public at $22 per share, generating more capital than any IPO since Ford Motor Company in 1956, and immediately creating 300 millionaires. Apple is the world's largest information technology company by revenue and theworld's second-largest mobile phone manufacturer after Samsung. In February 2015, Apple became the first U.S. company to be valued at over US$700 billion. The company employs 123,000 full-time employees[4] and maintains 499 retail storesin 22 countries as of December 2017. It operates the iTunes Store, which is the world's largest music retailer. As of January 2016, more than one billion Apple products are actively in use worldwide.

How did Steve Jobs earn his money?

Steve Jobs had a large stake in Apple when it went public. Apple’s IPO made more millionaires than any IPO prior to that and Steve Jobs was the largest shareholder of Apple at that time. On December 12, 1980, Apple launched its IPO (initial public offering) of its stock, selling 4.6 million shares at $22 per share with the stock symbol “AAPL” on the NASDAQ market. The shares sold out almost immediately and the IPO generated more capital than any IPO since Ford Motor Company in 1956. Instantly, about 300 millionaires, some 40 of which are Apple employees and investors, are created. That is more millionaires than any company in history had produced at that time. Steve Jobs, the largest shareholder, made $217 million dollars alone., When he left Apple, Steve sold all of his Apple Stock. He invested in other companies, including Pixar and NeXT. While not poor by any means, , , he did come close to running out of money in the mid-90s. The success of Toy Story and subsequent purchase of Pixar by Disney made Steve Jobs the largest private shareholder of Disney and a billionaire. Apple’s purchase of NeXT and his stake in Apple, whose stock at the time as at historic lows, and the stock’s subsequent climb in price only increased his wealth, but the majority of his money was in Disney stock, not Apple. Steve Jobs’ money is now in the hands of his wife, Laurene Powell Jobs, who is ranked as the 45th richest person in the world and one of the richest women in the world.,

What was the pre-IPO discussion about whether it was a good idea to participate in the IPO for Tesla Motors?

Looking through the prospectus, a few things jumped out at me. Tesla faces stiff competition (p27) - Daimler, Lexus, Audi, Renault, Mitsubishi, Volkswagen, Subaru, Nissan and Ford have all announced electric cars. Once electric cars are available from a diverse range of brands, Tesla will have to pick a market segment (say, upscale luxury) then compete on design and package with the traditional brands. The low end of the car market is as brutal as supermarkets. For a number of years, Ford sold the Focus at a loss because it improved the fuel economy of their fleet allowing them to sell more SUVs. [0] Tesla lacks infrastructure (p20) - Tesla plans to sell cars directly instead of through dealerships that act as franchises. "We sell our vehicles from our Tesla stores as well as over the internet...many states have laws that may be interpreted to prohibit internet sales by manufacturers to residents of the state or to impose other limitations on this sales model, including laws that prohibit manufacturers from selling vehicles directly to consumers without the use of an independent dealership or without a physical presence in the state. " Electric cars handle differently from internal combustion cars - Page 18 lists some of the ways electric cars handle differently. Braking, accelerating, impact of temperature, charge times and charge equipment. Page 31 talks about how they are serviced differently. Page 16 perception risks. People who have spent 20 odd years driving a gas car may not find early electric cars comfortable to drive. Changing consumer behavior is hard, and I know if I have a gas car, I can get it fueled and serviced anywhere I go. If my Tesla breaks down in Kansas, I'm probably walking. Tesla is dependant on companies that may wish to compete with it - The roadster chassis comes from Lotus. The Model-S has many parts and engineering sourced from Daimler. Page 40 "In addition, if Daimler proceeds with its plans to produce all of its lithium-ion batteries by 2012 as part of a joint venture with Evonik Industries AG, we are likely to lose the sole customer of our powertrain business." Since the Model-S isn't yet built, the funds from the IPO are in essence going to be used to build the Model-S. So the question 'Is Tesla a good investment?' is related to 'Would I buy a Model-S as my next car?'. If you find yourself saying 'I'd really rather get a Lexus…' then you either need to convince yourself you're an atypical consumer, or look deeply at the prospects the company has to sell parts (battery packs, powertrains) to other car manufacturers. That's a complicated and subtle (and large) business someone else will have to address, I know nothing about it. All the risks aside, Tesla has done amazing things. They've broken new ground, pushed the industry forward and accomplished a great deal. If they keep doing that, they'll keep creating value, but it's very clearly a long term investment. Given the current volatility of markets and general high correlation with macroeconomic factors, there probably will be chances to pick up the stock below the IPO price in the 12 or so months following the IPO, after the hype fades. The safer investment is probably in Lithium mining and battery technology companies that all car companies will be dependant on, but if, say, the government slaps a big tax on offshore oil in response to the BP leak, Tesla price might go parabolic. [0] http://blog.cleveland.com/business/2008/06/as_buyers_shun_suvs_expect_to.html

I'm 15 and my dad says I can pick my next stock to invest in. Any suggestions?

I am not going to suggest a stock to buy but rather give you a list of stocks that I think have potential and why and if any of them are of interest then you pick as your dad wants you to do. GOOG, Google or Alphabet is about as secure a fast growing company as you can find. They pretty much have a lock on search and keep investing in technologies that have a lot of potential. NKE, Nike, The stock is well off it’s high and has historically had steady growth and probably has one of the best brand images. It has a dividend but not a great one (about 1.3%). Sales growth has slowed a little lately which has brought the price down to were it is a good buy. WFC or BAC, That is Wells Fargo Bank or Bank of America. Interest rates are expected to rise which will help bank profits. WFC just dropped in price because of a scandal that really has little to do with operations or future profits. Both stocks are trading not too far from book value and both pay a nice dividend. (3.4% for WFC and 1.3% for BAC PFE or WBA, that is Pfizer and Walgreens, both are trading off their highs. There are 10,000 people a day who turn 65 and when people get older they need more prescriptions and health care. The growing population will cause these segments to grow. Both are off their highs and have a nice dividend. (WBA is 1.75% and PFE is 3.75%). Part of the reason these have dropped is the concern that the new president might crack down on health care. DAL, Delta Airlines is one of the best run airlines and it is well off it’s high as well. Even though fuel is cheap airline fares seem to be getting more cut throat. Still it has nice profits, a low PE and a 1.97% dividend. FB, Facebook has been doing a great job of growing revenues and profits. Many web experts feel it is a cost effective way to advertise so I see that continuing to grow. The concern is that young people seem to be less accepting of FB and more going to Snapchat and Tinder and other sites. Still I think this is a stock that will increase in price for some time. Others I considered mentioning. AAPL is doing well right now but a big part is the troubles at Samsung which won’t go on forever and I see iPhone sales dropping over the long term and little innovation at Apple. NVDA has been growing fast but my concern is if they can keep it up. F, Ford stock is very depressed and pays a great dividend. The age of vehicles is at an all time high and I think the stock is a bargain. GE is about as steady an industrial stock as you can find and has a nice divided. CWO is run by Marcus Limonus of the tv show The Profit which is one of my favorites and he seems to be a great operator. It just had it’s IPO last week and is still trading near the IPO price. They have been growing very fast. Just as a disclosure I have shares of NKE, BAC, BA, WFC, PFE, GE, F and am likely to buy WCO in the next few days. Good luck with your pick.

Do you really help a company if you invest in their stock?

In many ways yes. If you are buying the stock on the IPO most of the money goes to the company but once it is trading that the money goes to whoever owned the stock so you are not helping them directly. There are some indirect benefits however. Investors who own a companies stock tend buy products of those companies when possible. For example I own F & HP and try to drive Ford and compute and print on HP. The officers and directors also are often major shareholders and the more people like us buy a stock the higher the price will be which gives the insiders holdings more value and gives them more incentive to succeed.

What is the future of Happiest Minds shares?

Happiest Minds IPO listed on Indian exchanges, Snowflake IPO listed on the US exchanges. Happiest Minds an IT services company had an issue price of Rs 166/share. It was oversubscribed by 151 times. The share surged 124% to close at Rs 371/share on the day of its listing. In the last 10 years, only the IRCTC IPO surged more than this. On the other side of the world, a data warehousing company listed on the US markets. Snowflake IPO’s base price was $120 per share. At the end of the day it was listed, its price was $254 per share - up 111%. Snowflake was also the first IPO Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway took part in after around 70 years. The last IPO his company invested in was the Ford IPO - in 1956. Snowflake has gone to become the biggest software IPO of all-time. And there are a couple of new IPOs coming up in India now. CAMS is one of the bigger ones. There’s something to be aware of: IPOs don’t always go up. You can catch some amazing deals - good stocks at good prices. But that isn’t guaranteed. This is what makes them risky. It all comes down to being aware. If you know what you’re doing, you can make money. Else, you can end up losing money too.

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